FACT
SHEET:
ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PETERBOROUGH AND THE
KAWARTHAS FROM 2007 HOUSING ACTIVITY
Housing is a major engine of economic
growth in Peterborough and the Kawarthas.Here
are the key positive impacts of housing
activity, based on Statistics Canada and
CMHC data for 2007 and calculated by noted
housing economist Will Dunning :
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1,221 jobs came from
new housing construction, 540 units
last year. These were tradespeople working
directly on construction sites and also
people supplying materials, design consulting
services, etc. to housing developments.
Costs of developing land, but not the
cost of land itself, are also included.
In developing these estimates,
Mr. Dunning has drawn to the attention of
the Canadian Home Builders' Association
a number of important factors to be considered.
The estimates illustrate the importance
of residential construction in generating
jobs, wages, and investment in the construction
industry, and other industries, and the
significant government revenues generated
by housing activity.
The Statistics Canada and CMHC data show
that activity in the residential sector,
and the resulting economic benefits, may
vary significantly from year to year. These
variations occur because of changes in local
housing market conditions, but also because
policies of federal, provincial and municipal
governments have great potential to affect
housing activity.
Various emerging economic factors are bound
to affect the local housing market in 2008
and beyond, and may cause the economic impacts
to be reduced compared to prior years. The
factors include: changes in local economic
conditions, especially overall job creation
and unemployment; reductions in housing
affordability, due to increases in interest
rates combined with higher selling prices,
which in part have resulted from higher
government-imposed costs such as taxes,
fees, levies and charges; shortages of serviced
land and/or other restrictions in the supply
of factors critical for housing production.
During 2006 and 2007, housing activity in
Canada was temporarily bolstered by the
availability of new mortgage options, including
mortgages with extended amortization periods
(up to 40 years) and no-down-payment mortgages.
The market boost that resulted from these
new options is unlikely to be repeated in
2008. All things considered, it appears
that local housing market activity may have
peaked in a number of areas across Canada.
Looking forward, residential construction
activity may well weaken during 2008 and
subsequently. In this event, the local economic
benefits of residential construction may
be reduced.
This reinforces the need for governments
at all levels to be aware of the possible
negative economic, revenue, and affordability
impacts of their housing-related policies.
For additional information, please contact
Peterborough & Kawarthas Home Builders’
Association Executive Officer Lorraine Stratton
at 705-876-7604 or info@pkhba.ca.
The Association can also be reached at:
494 The Parkway, Unit 2
Peterborough, Ontario K9J 7L9
Fax: 876-6630
Website: www.peterboroughhomebuilders.com
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